It all very well to say that the longer the lockdown, the more damage is being done to the economy, and the longer it will take for it to revive. But premature reopening, followed by an emergency lurch back into quarantine if the epidemic flares up again, will make those costs, and those delays, seem like a picnic. The argument of the government health advisers against random mass screening or selective random screening among vulnerable groups, such as Aboriginal people, those in aged care, the disabled, people with diabetes, or primary and secondary schoolchildren, is, they say, both the problem of small numbers and low prevalence rates and the damnable problems of false positives and false negatives.
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